The Supreme Court
The current court: who sits on it, how they vote, where their cases come from, and what our per-justice model expects case by case. The model predicts each justice's vote from what's known before a decision (accuracy 65.3% vs a 60.6% baseline, walk-forward 1970–2023) — the full backtest, the academic benchmark, and the model zoo live on the record page.
The model's record — and this term
Overall accuracy from the walk-forward backtest (1970–2023), then this term's live scoreboard against the FantasySCOTUS prediction crowd — and both sides' calls on the cases still pending.
Probabilities are P(petitioner wins) — the side that brought the appeal. Highlighted justices are predicted to vote for the petitioner. "FantasySCOTUS" is the crowd average from fantasyscotus.net; consensus blends our model with the crowd (and markets when priced), weighted by each source's track record on this term's decided cases.
The bench — ideology
Position is each justice's Martin–Quinn score (higher = more conservative). The Martin–Quinn data feed is currently offline, so these are the last published values and are approximate; the live feed will replace them when it returns.
The sitting nine
Each justice profiled from their entire voting record: ideology (share of conservative vs liberalvotes), how often they land in the majority, their record on one-vote-margin (5–4) decisions — the swing-vote tell — and how predictable the model finds them. Each card adds the model's predicted votes on the pending cases and the justice's most recent majority opinions.
The Court decided whether and to what extent a former President enjoys presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for conduct alleged to involve official acts during his tenure in office.
The Court considered whether to overrule Chevron deference, but the case was dismissed as improvidently granted, leaving Chevron deference intact.
The Court decided whether Federal Rule of Evidence 702 requires a district court to make an express finding that the expert's testimony was based on sufficient facts or data, and the Court ruled that it does not.
The Court ruled that the ATF exceeded its statutory authority by classifying bump stocks as machineguns.
The Court ruled that a single-document notice to appear for a removal hearing is not required to establish jurisdiction, reversing the Ninth Circuit.
The Court ruled that the Fifth Circuit erred in granting habeas relief by failing to afford the state court's decision the deference required by AEDPA.
The Court held that a debtor's right to appeal a bankruptcy court's order denying confirmation of a reorganization plan is not mooted by the debtor's post-judgment sale of its assets.
The Court considered whether government officials coerced regulated entities to punish the NRA for its protected speech, but the case was settled and dismissed before a ruling.
The Court held that the NetChoice plaintiffs lacked standing to challenge the Florida law, vacating the Eleventh Circuit's injunction.
The Court considered a criminal procedure issue but did not issue a merits decision, dismissing the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted.
The Supreme Court heard arguments on whether the Eighth Amendment prevents cities from punishing homeless individuals for sleeping outside when no shelter is available, but has not yet issued a ruling.
The Supreme Court considered a challenge to the EPA's authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from power plants, but ultimately dismissed the case as moot.
The Court considered whether 18 U.S.C. 666(a)(1)(B) requires the government to prove that a bribe of a state or local official was paid with a purpose to influence an organization that receives federal funds, but the Court dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted.
The Court considered whether the Sixteenth Amendment authorizes Congress to tax unrealized sums without apportionment among the states, but did not rule on the question.
The Court ruled that the six-year statute of limitations for challenging agency rules under the Administrative Procedure Act begins when the rule is applied to the plaintiff.
The Supreme Court considered whether government officials coerced social-media companies to suppress speech, but the Court ruled that the plaintiffs lacked standing to sue.
The Court addressed a dispute among Texas, New Mexico, and Colorado over water rights to the Pecos River, ruling on the equitable apportionment of the river's waters.
The Court held that the increase in U.S. Trustee fees, enacted in 2017, could not be applied to existing Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases filed before the effective date of the fee increase.
Who votes together
Share of shared cases where each pair voted the same way. The two ideological blocs — and the justices who cross between them — show up in the shading.
| Rober | Thoma | Alito | Sotom | Kagan | Gorsu | Kavan | Barre | Jacks | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberts | — | 82 | 87 | 71 | 74 | 78 | 95 | 88 | 75 |
| Thomas | 82 | — | 87 | 59 | 62 | 82 | 78 | 84 | 58 |
| Alito | 87 | 87 | — | 61 | 64 | 82 | 85 | 83 | 62 |
| Sotomayor | 71 | 59 | 61 | — | 90 | 61 | 67 | 65 | 91 |
| Kagan | 74 | 62 | 64 | 90 | — | 66 | 72 | 69 | 89 |
| Gorsuch | 78 | 82 | 82 | 61 | 66 | — | 79 | 82 | 66 |
| Kavanaugh | 95 | 78 | 85 | 67 | 72 | 79 | — | 90 | 76 |
| Barrett | 88 | 84 | 83 | 65 | 69 | 82 | 90 | — | 71 |
| Jackson | 75 | 58 | 62 | 91 | 89 | 66 | 76 | 71 | — |
Where cases come from
Every case arrives from a court below, and the Court mostly takes cases to reverse — this bench sides with the petitioner in 74% of its federal-circuit cases (terms 2020–24). The odds move with the path: which circuit the case came from, and whether a judge below dissented. Lifetime rates shown for reference.
| Court below | Petitioner wins, this court (2020–24) | Cases | Lifetime (1946–) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Cir. | 90% | 10 | 57% (190) |
| 2nd Cir. | 79% | 19 | 55% (653) |
| 3rd Cir. | 62% | 13 | 58% (419) |
| 4th Cir. | too few cases | 8 | 59% (385) |
| 5th Cir. | 71% | 31 | 66% (712) |
| 6th Cir. | 85% | 20 | 69% (515) |
| 7th Cir. | too few cases | 7 | 62% (476) |
| 8th Cir. | 67% | 12 | 66% (358) |
| 9th Cir. | 77% | 51 | 71% (1,118) |
| 10th Cir. | too few cases | 8 | 64% (285) |
| 11th Cir. | 43% | 14 | 61% (238) |
| D.C. Cir. | 100% | 10 | 70% (500) |
| Fed. Cir. | too few cases | 8 | 67% (118) |
| State courts | 75% | 16 | 66% (2,071) |
Who reverses whom
Each sitting justice's petitioner-side rate by court below, over their full tenure (darker = votes to reverse that court more; cells need 15+ shared cases, so newer justices have fewer).
| 2nd | 5th | 6th | 9th | State | 11th | 3rd | 4th | 8th | Fed. | 1st | 10th | 7th | D.C. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberts | 68 | 65 | 74 | 79 | 65 | 58 | 64 | 60 | 70 | 73 | 60 | 65 | 60 | 67 |
| Thomas | 64 | 43 | 71 | 80 | 53 | 49 | 54 | 53 | 57 | 59 | 63 | 50 | 55 | 46 |
| Alito | 62 | 55 | 69 | 80 | 57 | 50 | 66 | 58 | 55 | 63 | 57 | 58 | 57 | 60 |
| Sotomayor | 63 | 74 | 69 | 53 | 72 | 71 | 62 | 46 | 72 | 69 | 48 | 63 | 55 | 52 |
| Kagan | 63 | 78 | 74 | 60 | 73 | 66 | 64 | 50 | 78 | 61 | 56 | 69 | 51 | 46 |
| Gorsuch | 67 | 58 | 80 | 79 | 56 | 54 | 70 | 67 | 50 | 60 | 73 | 67 | 81 | |
| Kavanaugh | 76 | 70 | 62 | 80 | 70 | 43 | 60 | 63 | 63 | 63 | ||||
| Barrett | 83 | 55 | 80 | 78 | 53 | |||||||||
| Jackson | 87 | 38 |
Recent calls
The model's walk-forward forecasts for the 116 most recent cases — predicted winner, petitioner-win probability, and the actual result.
| Case | Issue | P(petitioner) | Predicted | Actual | ✓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| moody v. netchoice, llc· 2023 The Court held that the NetChoice plaintiffs lacked standing to challenge the Florida law, vacating the Eleventh Circuit's injunction. | First Amendment | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| trump v. united states· 2023 The Court decided whether and to what extent a former President enjoys presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for conduct alleged to involve official acts during his tenure in office. | Criminal Procedure | 55% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| corner post v. board of governors of the federal reserve system· 2023 The Court ruled that the six-year statute of limitations for challenging agency rules under the Administrative Procedure Act begins when the rule is applied to the plaintiff. | Economic Activity | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| fischer v. united states· 2023 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not yet available. | Criminal Procedure | 81% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| loper bright enterprises v. raimondo· 2023 The Court considered whether to overrule Chevron deference, but the case was dismissed as improvidently granted, leaving Chevron deference intact. | Economic Activity | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| city of grants pass, oregon v. johnson· 2023 The Supreme Court heard arguments on whether the Eighth Amendment prevents cities from punishing homeless individuals for sleeping outside when no shelter is available, but has not yet issued a ruling. | Criminal Procedure | 81% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| harrington v. purdue pharma l.p.· 2023 The Court considered the legality of Purdue Pharma's bankruptcy plan, which included releases for the Sackler family, and ruled to allow the plan to proceed. | Economic Activity | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| securities and exchange commission v. jarkesy· 2023 The Court decided whether the SEC administrative law judges' statutory removal protections were constitutional, ruling that they were not. | Economic Activity | 83% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| ohio v. environmental protection agency· 2023 The Supreme Court considered a challenge to the EPA's authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from power plants, but ultimately dismissed the case as moot. | Economic Activity | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| moyle v. united states· 2023 The Court considered the scope of privacy rights in digital communications, ruling on the government's access to encrypted data. | Privacy | 72% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| snyder v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether 18 U.S.C. 666(a)(1)(B) requires the government to prove that a bribe of a state or local official was paid with a purpose to influence an organization that receives federal funds, but the Court dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted. | Economic Activity | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| murthy v. missouri· 2023 The Supreme Court considered whether government officials coerced social-media companies to suppress speech, but the Court ruled that the plaintiffs lacked standing to sue. | Judicial Power | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| erlinger v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether a jury must find facts supporting a U.S. Sentencing Guidelines enhancement, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| department of state v. muã±oz· 2023 The Court held that a U.S. citizen does not have a fundamental liberty interest in their noncitizen spouse being admitted to the U.S., reversing the Ninth Circuit. | Civil Rights | 86% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| united states v. rahimi· 2023 The Court ruled that 18 U.S.C. 922(g)(8), which prohibits firearm possession for individuals subject to domestic violence restraining orders, does not violate the Second Amendment. | Criminal Procedure | 71% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| texas v. new mexico and colorado· 2023 The Court addressed a dispute among Texas, New Mexico, and Colorado over water rights to the Pecos River, ruling on the equitable apportionment of the river's waters. | Interstate Relations | 49% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| smith v. arizona· 2023 The Court considered a criminal procedure issue but did not issue a merits decision, dismissing the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted. | Criminal Procedure | 74% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| chiaverini v. city of napoleon, ohio· 2023 The Court considered whether a plaintiff could challenge a malicious prosecution claim when charges were dropped, but did not issue a ruling on the merits. | Civil Rights | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| gonzalez v. trevino· 2023 The Court vacated and remanded to determine if the alleged retaliatory arrest of a city councilman for criticizing the mayor violated the First Amendment. | First Amendment | 74% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| diaz v. united states· 2023 The Court decided whether Federal Rule of Evidence 702 requires a district court to make an express finding that the expert's testimony was based on sufficient facts or data, and the Court ruled that it does not. | Criminal Procedure | 66% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| moore v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether the Sixteenth Amendment authorizes Congress to tax unrealized sums without apportionment among the states, but did not rule on the question. | Federal Taxation | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| campos-chaves v. garland· 2023 The Court ruled that a single-document notice to appear for a removal hearing is not required to establish jurisdiction, reversing the Ninth Circuit. | Civil Rights | 70% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| garland v. cargill· 2023 The Court ruled that the ATF exceeded its statutory authority by classifying bump stocks as machineguns. | Criminal Procedure | 70% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| office of the u.s. trustee v. john q. hammons fall 2006, llc· 2023 The Court held that the increase in U.S. Trustee fees, enacted in 2017, could not be applied to existing Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases filed before the effective date of the fee increase. | Economic Activity | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| vidal v. elster· 2023 The Court ruled that the First Amendment did not prohibit the government from refusing to register a trademark that uses a person's name without their consent. | First Amendment | 53% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| food and drug administration v. alliance for hippocratic medicine· 2023 The Supreme Court ruled that the Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine lacked standing to challenge the FDA's regulation of mifepristone, reversing the Fifth Circuit's decision. | Privacy | 62% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| starbucks corp. v. mckinney· 2023 The Court ruled that federal courts must apply the traditional four-factor test for preliminary injunctions when considering National Labor Relations Board requests under NLRA Section 10(j). | Unions | 62% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| becerra v. san carlos apache tribe· 2023 The Court ruled that the Indian Health Service must pay contract support costs to tribes that administer healthcare programs, even if those costs exceed the IHS's congressional appropriations. | Civil Rights | 62% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| connelly v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether the proceeds of a life insurance policy funding a stock redemption agreement should be included in the value of the decedent's shares for estate tax purposes, ruling that they should. | Federal Taxation | 61% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| truck insurance exchange v. kaiser gypsum company· 2023 The Court held that a debtor's right to appeal a bankruptcy court's order denying confirmation of a reorganization plan is not mooted by the debtor's post-judgment sale of its assets. | Economic Activity | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| cantero v. bank of america· 2023 The Court considered whether the National Bank Act preempted state law claims regarding mortgage escrow accounts, ruling that federal law did not preempt the state law. | Federalism | 60% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| national rifle association of america v. vullo· 2023 The Court considered whether government officials coerced regulated entities to punish the NRA for its protected speech, but the case was settled and dismissed before a ruling. | First Amendment | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| thornell v. jones· 2023 The Court ruled that the Fifth Circuit erred in granting habeas relief by failing to afford the state court's decision the deference required by AEDPA. | Criminal Procedure | 83% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| coinbase v. suski· 2023 The Court ruled that the Ninth Circuit did not err in determining that the question of who decides arbitrability depends on the arbitration agreement's specific language. | Economic Activity | 65% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| alexander v. south carolina state conference of the naacp· 2023 The Court held that the South Carolina General Assembly's redistricting plan for congressional districts was not an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. | Civil Rights | 62% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| brown v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether a federal defendant who pleads guilty preserves an appellate claim that the indictment fails to state an offense if the defendant did not raise the objection before pleading guilty. The Court ruled that such a claim is not preserved. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| harrow v. department of defense· 2023 The Court considered whether the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit's filing deadline for appealing Merit Systems Protection Board decisions is jurisdictional, ruling it is not. | Judicial Power | 60% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| smith v. spizzirri· 2023 The Court ruled that federal courts must send a case to arbitration even if the court finds the arbitration agreement is unenforceable. | Unions | 58% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| consumer financial protection bureau v. community financial services association of america, limited· 2023 The Court ruled that the CFPB's funding mechanism, drawing from the Federal Reserve, does not violate the Appropriations Clause. | Miscellaneous | 55% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| culley v. marshall· 2023 The Court ruled that due process does not require a separate preliminary hearing for innocent owner claims in civil forfeiture cases. | Due Process | 66% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| warner chappell music v. neal· 2023 The Court considered whether the “discovery rule” applies to copyright claims, but did not rule on the merits, instead vacating and remanding for lack of jurisdiction. | Economic Activity | 62% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| mcintosh v. united states· 2023 The Court held that a federal prisoner seeking to challenge the calculation of their sentence under 28 U.S.C. 2241 must do so within the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996's one-year statute of limitations. | Criminal Procedure | 60% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| muldrow v. city of st. louis, missouri· 2023 The Supreme Court considered whether the Eighth Circuit's test for showing an adverse employment action in Title VII cases was correct, ruling that a plaintiff need only show some harm from a discriminatory job transfer. | Civil Rights | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| devillier v. texas· 2023 The Court considered whether property owners can seek just compensation under the Fifth Amendment for property taken without formal condemnation proceedings, but did not issue a ruling on the merits. | Due Process | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| rudisill v. mcdonough· 2023 The Court ruled that a veteran who had received educational assistance under one GI Bill program could also receive assistance under a different GI Bill program, reversing the lower court's decision. | Civil Rights | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| macquarie infrastructure corp. v. moab partners, l.p.· 2023 The Court held that an omission alone is insufficient to state a claim under Exchange Act Rule 10b-5(b), which requires an untrue statement of material fact. | Economic Activity | 57% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| sheetz v. county of el dorado, california· 2023 The Court held that a traffic impact fee imposed as a condition for a residential building permit was a "taking" under the Fifth Amendment, even if legislatively imposed. | Due Process | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| bissonnette v. lepage bakeries park st., llc· 2023 The Court considered whether a state law claim for unpaid wages under state law was preempted by the Labor Management Relations Act, but the case was dismissed. | Unions | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| federal bureau of investigation v. fikre· 2023 The Court considered whether a lawsuit seeking to remove an individual from the No-Fly List became moot once the government removed him, ruling it did. | Judicial Power | 71% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| wilkinson v. garland· 2023 The Court ruled that federal courts can review Board of Immigration Appeals decisions regarding equitable tolling of the 90-day deadline for filing a motion to reopen, reversing the lower court. | Civil Rights | 69% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| lindke v. freed· 2023 The Court ruled that a public official's social media activity is state action under Section 1983 only if they possess state authority and exercise it to fulfill a governmental responsibility. | First Amendment | 69% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| pulsifer v. united states· 2023 The Court held that a defendant's prior uncounseled misdemeanor convictions, if they did not result in imprisonment, cannot be used to enhance a subsequent sentence under the Armed Career Criminal Act. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| o'connor-ratcliff v. garnier· 2023 The Court considered whether public officials' social media activity constituted state action, but the case was dismissed as improvidently granted. | First Amendment | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| trump v. anderson· 2023 The Court ruled that states cannot disqualify presidential candidates under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment, reversing Colorado's decision to remove Trump from the ballot. | Civil Rights | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mcelrath v. georgia· 2023 The Court ruled that the Double Jeopardy Clause prevents a state from retrying a defendant for an offense after an acquittal, even if the acquittal is inconsistent with a conviction on another charge. | Criminal Procedure | 72% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| great lakes insurance se v. raiders retreat realty co., llc· 2023 The Court held that federal courts have admiralty jurisdiction over a marine insurance contract dispute, even if the dispute involves a non-maritime issue. | Private Action | 48% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| murray v. ubs securities, llc· 2023 The Court considered the evidentiary standard for whistleblower retaliation claims under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, ruling that plaintiffs need not prove their employer acted with retaliatory intent. | Civil Rights | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| department of agriculture rural development rural housing service v. kirtz· 2023 The Court held that the federal government waived its sovereign immunity under the Privacy Act when a plaintiff seeks actual damages for the government's failure to maintain accurate records. | Economic Activity | 62% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| acheson hotels, llc v. laufer· 2023 The Court dismissed as moot a case about Article III standing for ADA testers, declining to rule on whether such testers have standing to sue for informational injuries. | Judicial Power | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| biden v. nebraska· 2022 The Court ruled that the Biden administration's student loan forgiveness plan exceeded its authority under the HEROES Act, thereby striking down the program. | Economic Activity | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| department of education v. brown· 2022 The Court considered whether the Department of Education had the statutory authority to establish a student loan forgiveness program, ruling that it did not. | Judicial Power | 55% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| 303 creative llc v. elenis· 2022 The Court ruled that a graphic designer has a First Amendment right to refuse to create websites for same-sex weddings, despite a state anti-discrimination law. | Civil Rights | 83% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| groff v. dejoy· 2022 The Court ruled that to deny a religious accommodation, an employer must show that the burden of granting an accommodation would result in substantial increased costs in relation to the conduct of its particular business. | Civil Rights | 83% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| students for fair admissions inc. v. president & fellows of harvard college· 2022 The Court ruled that Harvard and UNC's race-conscious admissions programs violated the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. | Civil Rights | 74% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| abitron austria gmbh v. hetronic int'l· 2022 The Court considered the extraterritorial reach of Section 43(a) of the Lanham Act, ruling that it does not apply to foreign infringements when the infringing conduct occurred abroad. | Economic Activity | 50% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| moore v. harper· 2022 The Court ruled that the North Carolina Supreme Court did not err in striking down the congressional map drawn by the state legislature. | Civil Rights | 75% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| counterman v. colorado· 2022 The Court ruled that to convict a defendant for making true threats, the state must prove the defendant had some subjective understanding of the threatening nature of their statements, overturning the conviction of a man who sent harassing messages. | First Amendment | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mallory v. norfolk southern railway co.· 2022 The Court ruled that the Pennsylvania courts had personal jurisdiction over Norfolk Southern because the company registered to do business there, thereby consenting to jurisdiction. | Due Process | 55% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| united states v. hansen· 2022 The Court unanimously held that the federal ban on encouraging illegal immigration, 8 U.S.C. § 1324(a)(1)(A)(iv), was not unconstitutionally overbroad under the First Amendment. | First Amendment | 79% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| coinbase, inc. v. bielski· 2022 The Court ruled that a district court must stay its proceedings when an appeal is taken from the denial of a motion to compel arbitration. | Economic Activity | 48% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| samia v. united states· 2022 The Court ruled that the Confrontation Clause is not violated by the admission of a codefendant's redacted out-of-court statement. | Criminal Procedure | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| united states v. texas· 2022 The Court decided whether Texas and Louisiana had Article III standing to challenge the Department of Homeland Security's immigration enforcement guidelines, ruling they did not. | Judicial Power | 55% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| jones v. hendrix· 2022 The Court held that a federal prisoner could not bring a second or successive habeas petition to challenge his sentence based on a new interpretation of a statute. | Criminal Procedure | 51% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| arizona v. navajo nation· 2022 The Supreme Court ruled that the 1868 Treaty with the Navajo Nation did not require the United States to take affirmative steps to secure water for the Navajo Nation. | Civil Rights | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| pugin v. garland· 2022 The Court ruled that a defendant's prior conviction for a felony involving the use or carrying of a firearm is not a "violent felony" under the Armed Career Criminal Act. | Civil Rights | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| yegiazaryan v. smagin· 2022 The Court declined to hear a case regarding the enforceability of an oral contract for a share in a business venture, leaving lower court rulings undisturbed. | Economic Activity | 50% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| u.s., ex rel. polansky v. executive health resources· 2022 The Court decided whether the government can dismiss a False Claims Act qui tam action after initially declining to intervene, ruling that it can. | Economic Activity | 51% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| lora v. united states· 2022 The Court held that 18 U.S.C. 924(c)(1)(D)(ii) does not require a consecutive sentence for a defendant who is already subject to a mandatory consecutive sentence. | Criminal Procedure | 50% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| lac du flambeau band of lake superior chippewa indians v. coughlin· 2022 The Court considered whether the doctrine of tribal sovereign immunity extends to private commercial activity, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | Economic Activity | 60% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| haaland v. brackeen· 2022 The Court upheld the Indian Child Welfare Act's provisions concerning the placement of Native American children in adoption and foster care, rejecting challenges to its constitutionality. | Civil Rights | 79% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| smith v. united states· 2022 The Court decided whether the federal 'felon-in-possession' statute requires the government to prove a defendant knew their firearm was a weapon, ruling it does not. | Criminal Procedure | 67% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| health and hospital corporation of marion county, indiana v. talevski· 2022 The Court ruled that Medicaid Act's anti-discrimination and patient-safety provisions allow private lawsuits to enforce those rights. | Civil Rights | 74% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| jack daniels properties v. vip products llc· 2022 The Court ruled that a parody dog toy was not exempt from trademark infringement claims as an expressive work, reversing the Ninth Circuit. | Economic Activity | 56% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| allen v. milligan· 2022 The Court affirmed the district court's finding that Alabama's 2021 congressional map likely violated Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. | Civil Rights | 62% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| dubin v. united states· 2022 The Court held that 18 U.S.C. 1035(a)(1) requires that the false statement be material to the charged healthcare fraud, reversing the Fifth Circuit. | Criminal Procedure | 62% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| slack technologies v. pirani· 2022 The Court considered whether purchasers of direct and registered shares have standing to sue under Section 11 of the Securities Act of 1933, but did not rule on the merits. | Economic Activity | 59% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| united states ex rel. schutte v. supervalu inc.· 2022 The Court ruled that a defendant's contemporaneous subjective understanding of the meaning of a phrase was relevant to whether they knowingly made a false claim. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| glacier northwest v. int'l brotherhood of teamsters· 2022 The Court ruled that the National Labor Relations Act did not protect the union from state tort liability for intentionally destroying the employer's property during a strike. | Unions | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| sackett v. environmental protection agency· 2022 The Court unanimously ruled that the Ninth Circuit erred by using the "significant nexus" test to determine if wetlands are "waters of the United States" under the Clean Water Act. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| dupree v. younger· 2022 The Court held that a party does not forfeit an affirmative defense by failing to reassert it in response to a motion for summary judgment. | Judicial Power | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| tyler v. hennepin county, minnesota· 2022 The Court unanimously ruled that Hennepin County violated the Fifth Amendment's Takings Clause by retaining the surplus from a tax foreclosure sale. | Due Process | 74% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| calcutt v. fdic· 2022 The Court decided a case about the economic activity, specifically regarding the powers of the FDIC. | Economic Activity | 62% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| gonzalez v. google llc· 2022 The Court vacated and remanded on the question of whether Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act immunizes interactive computer services when they make targeted recommendations of information provided by another information content provider, finding the issue was not properly before them. | Economic Activity | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| amgen inc. v. sanofi· 2022 The Court considered whether Amgen's antibody patents for lowering cholesterol met the enablement requirement, ruling that they did not enable a person skilled in the art to make and use the full scope of the claims. | Economic Activity | 62% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| andy warhol foundation for the visual arts v. goldsmith· 2022 The Court ruled that Andy Warhol's use of a photograph to create a series of silkscreen prints was not fair use, reversing the Second Circuit's decision. | Economic Activity | 74% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| polselli v. internal revenue service· 2022 The Court decided whether 26 U.S.C. 6320 and 6330 require the IRS to provide a non-custodial spouse with a CDP hearing when the IRS levies property to satisfy the other spouse's tax debt, ruling that it does not. | Federal Taxation | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| twitter v. taamneh· 2022 The Court ruled that providing general support to a terrorist organization, without directly aiding a specific act of terrorism, was not sufficient to establish liability under the Anti-Terrorism Act. | Economic Activity | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| ohio adjutant generalâs department v. federal labor relations authority· 2022 The Court considered whether the Federal Labor Relations Authority had jurisdiction over state National Guard civilian technicians, ruling it did not. | Unions | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| percoco v. united states· 2022 The Court considered whether a private citizen can be convicted of honest-services wire fraud for defrauding the public, ruling that they cannot. | Criminal Procedure | 56% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| ciminelli v. united states· 2022 The Court considered whether the Second Circuit's 'right to control' theory of fraud could sustain a conviction under federal fraud statutes, ruling that it could not. | Criminal Procedure | 56% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| santos-zacaria v. garland· 2022 The Court considered whether the Fifth Circuit erred in reviewing an immigration agency's factual findings, ruling that the court of appeals lacked jurisdiction to review the petitioner's claims. | Civil Rights | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| national pork producers council v. ross· 2022 The Court affirmed the Ninth Circuit, ruling that the dormant Commerce Clause did not bar California from enforcing Proposition 12, which bans the sale of pork from pigs confined in a cruel manner. | Economic Activity | 53% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| financial oversight and management bd for puerto rico v. centro de periodismo investigativo· 2022 The Court dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted, leaving undisturbed the First Circuit's judgment regarding the Financial Oversight and Management Board's transparency obligations. | Miscellaneous | 69% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| turkiye halk bankasi a.s. v. united states· 2022 The Court considered whether U.S. courts have jurisdiction over criminal prosecutions of foreign sovereigns, but did not reach a definitive ruling on the merits. | Criminal Procedure | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| reed v. goertz· 2022 The Court held that the federal courts should abstain from exercising jurisdiction over a state prisoner's Section 1983 claim challenging the state's post-conviction DNA testing procedures. | Criminal Procedure | 51% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| moac mall holdings llc v. transform holdco llc· 2022 The Court ruled that a bankruptcy court's order under 11 U.S.C. 363(m) is not jurisdictional, allowing an appeal to proceed despite the lack of a stay. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| new york v. new jersey· 2022 The Court dismissed New York's complaint against New Jersey regarding the Waterfront Commission Compact as improvidently granted, leaving the compact's future uncertain. | Interstate Relations | 46% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| axon enterprise v. federal trade commission· 2022 The Court ruled that district courts have jurisdiction over constitutional challenges to the FTC's structure or existence, not the agency's administrative process. | Judicial Power | 56% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| wilkins v. united states· 2022 The Court decided whether the Quiet Title Act's 12-year statute of limitations is a jurisdictional rule or a claim-processing rule, ruling it is a claim-processing rule. | Economic Activity | 50% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| perez v. sturgis public schools· 2022 The Court ruled that the exhaustion requirement of the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) does not apply to claims seeking only monetary damages. | Civil Rights | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| bittner v. united states· 2022 The Court ruled that a nonwillful failure to file a Foreign Bank Account Report (FBAR) is subject to a single penalty per form, not per account. | Federal Taxation | 50% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| delaware v. pennsylvania and wisconsin· 2022 The Court held that unclaimed funds from MoneyGram's official checks and similar instruments are subject to the 1974 Federal Disposition Act, which assigns them to the state where the instrument was purchased. | Interstate Relations | 46% | Respondent | Respondent | ✓ |
| cruz v. arizona· 2022 The Court considered whether Arizona courts must apply federal law to review a capital defendant's claim of intellectual disability, but the case was dismissed. | Federalism | 56% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| helix energy solutions group v. hewitt· 2022 The Supreme Court held that the Fair Labor Standards Act's exemption for highly compensated employees does not apply to employees paid on a daily basis, regardless of their total annual compensation. | Unions | 80% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| bartenwerfer v. buckley· 2022 The Court held that a debt for money or property obtained by fraud is nondischargeable in bankruptcy, even if the debtor did not personally commit the fraud. | Economic Activity | 67% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| arellano v. mcdonough· 2022 The Court decided a case about the legal subject of civil rights. | Civil Rights | 75% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
Recent decisions (16)
The Court addressed whether the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims against pesticide manufacturers. The Court held that FIFRA expressly preempts such claims if they would require a manufacturer to add a warning to a label that EPA has not required, as federal law mandates the use of EPA-approved labels.
The Supreme Court addressed when an alien "arrives in the United States" for asylum and inspection purposes under the INA. The Court held that an alien arrives only when they cross the border, not when they are standing in Mexico attempting to enter, thus not entitling them to asylum application or inspection while still in Mexico.
The Supreme Court addressed whether individuals challenging the termination of Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Syria and Haiti are entitled to orders postponing these terminations during litigation. The Court held that the TPS statute bars judicial review of non-constitutional claims and that the equal protection claim regarding Haiti's TPS termination was unlikely to succeed.
The Court addressed whether a Hawaii law prohibiting firearms on private property open to the public without express consent violates the Second and Fourteenth Amendments. The Court held that the law is unconstitutional because it imposes a significant burden on the right to carry handguns for self-defense, and Hawaii's historical analogues did not support its constitutionality.
The case questions whether individuals can be held personally liable under the Religious Land Use and Institutionalized Persons Act (RLUIPA), a Spending Clause statute, without their voluntary and knowing consent to such liability. The Court held that individuals cannot be held liable in their personal capacities under a Spending Clause statute unless they have voluntarily and knowingly consented to answer lawsuits under that statute, and since the individual officers did not consent, the case against them cannot proceed.
The Court addressed whether the Immigration and Nationality Act requires a border officer to have clear and convincing evidence that a lawful permanent resident committed a crime involving moral turpitude before deeming them an applicant for admission. The Court held that the INA does not impose such a burden on border officers, clarifying that the commission of the crime is sufficient at the initial stage, with conviction or admission required later to establish inadmissibility.
The Court addressed whether new causes of action for violations of international norms can be created under the Alien Tort Statute (ATS) and whether aiding and abetting liability applies under the Torture Victim Protection Act (TVPA). The Court held that courts may not create new causes of action under the ATS, emphasizing that the power to create causes of action belongs to Congress and that judicially created causes of action generally offend the separation of powers.
The Court addressed whether the Helms-Burton Act itself abrogates the sovereign immunity of Cuban agencies and instrumentalities, or if plaintiffs must also satisfy an exception under the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act (FSIA). The Court held that the Helms-Burton Act clearly abrogates the sovereign immunity of Cuban agencies and instrumentalities, meaning plaintiffs do not need to satisfy an additional FSIA exception.
The Court addressed whether "just compensation" for a tax sale under the Fifth Amendment's Takings Clause is based on the auction sale price or the property's fair market value, holding that the proper baseline is the auction sale price when the sale is fairly conducted. Additionally, the Court rejected the argument that the Eighth Amendment's Excessive Fines Clause requires compensation beyond the surplus proceeds from a fairly conducted tax sale.
The Supreme Court summarily reversed the Second Circuit's grant of habeas relief, holding that the Second Circuit exceeded its authority under AEDPA by finding a state-court decision unreasonable for not instructing a jury on how to apply Missouri v. Seibert, a case that did not address jury instructions.
The case addresses whether the Rooker-Feldman doctrine, which bars federal district courts from reviewing state-court judgments, applies only to final judgments from a state's highest court or also to judgments still subject to state appellate review. The Court held that the doctrine applies regardless of whether the state-court judgment remains subject to further review in state appellate proceedings.
The Court addressed whether an appeal waiver in a plea agreement is enforceable when the defendant challenges a mandatory-medication condition as infringing on a fundamental due process liberty interest. The Court held that an agreement not to appeal a sentence is unenforceable when it would result in a miscarriage of justice, meaning an egregious error that would bring the judicial system into disrepute.
The question presented is whether prosecuting an individual for possessing a gun while being an unlawful user of a controlled substance, under 18 U. S. C. §922(g)(3), violates the Second Amendment. The Court held that the government's prosecution of Mr. Hemani under this provision is inconsistent with the Second Amendment because the government's historical analogy to "habitual drunkard" laws fails to demonstrate a relevant similarity in purpose and operation.
The Supreme Court addressed whether a defendant charged with falsifying a document to obstruct a federal investigation must be tried where the falsification occurred or where the investigation was located. The Court held that venue is proper only in the district where the falsification took place, as no "conduct constituting the offense" happened in the district where the investigation was located.
The case questioned whether Section 47(b) of the Investment Company Act (ICA) implicitly allows private parties to sue for rescission of contracts that allegedly violate the Act. The Court held that Section 47(b) does not create an implied private right of action for such lawsuits, emphasizing that Congress, not the Judiciary, determines who may enforce federal law.
The Court addressed whether a debtor's failure to disclose a claim in bankruptcy proceedings was inadvertent or mistaken for purposes of judicial estoppel. The Court held that courts should consider the totality of the circumstances, rather than narrowly focusing on the debtor's knowledge of facts or potential motive to conceal, when determining if an omission was inadvertent or mistaken.
Decisions from CourtListener (Free Law Project) — click a case for the full opinion. Issue area and summary are generated by an LLM (Gemini) from each opinion's official syllabus, so they reflect the actual ruling rather than a guess.
In the news

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