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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Florida Senate
In the 1998 Florida Senate race, Bob Graham (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+24.9
Final polls said
D+29.6
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+22.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+28.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fleming & Associates | D+30.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Research Institute Inc. | D+36.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Independent Market Research | D+36.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-303
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-273
Market Research Institute Inc.1998-10-2211
Independent Market Research1998-10-2211
Fleming & Associates1998-10-225
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Florida Senate race?
Bob Graham (D) won, by about 24.9 points (D+24.9).
When was the 1998 Florida Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.