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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Washington Senate
In the 1998 Washington Senate race, Patty Murray (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+16.8
Final polls said
D+9.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FM3 Research | D+13.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+8.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+8.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elway Research | D+7.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Moore Information Group | D+2.0 | 14.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-309
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-269
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-204
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-054
FM3 Research1998-09-254
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Washington Senate race?
Patty Murray (D) won, by about 16.8 points (D+16.8).
When was the 1998 Washington Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.