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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Washington Senate
In the 1998 Washington Senate race, Patty Murray (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+16.8
Final polls said
D+9.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FM3 Research | D+13.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+8.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+8.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elway Research | D+7.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Moore Information Group | D+2.0 | 14.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-309
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-269
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-204
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-054
FM3 Research1998-09-254
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Washington Senate race?
Patty Murray (D) won, by about 16.8 points (D+16.8).
When was the 1998 Washington Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.