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Toss-up · 2002 Governor

Tennessee Governor

In the 2002 Tennessee Governor race, Phil Bredesen (D) won by about 3 points.

Actual result
D+3.0
Final polls said
D+3.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyD+3.00.0
2SurveyUSAD+4.01.0
3OnMessage Inc.D+0.62.4
4Mellman GroupD+6.03.0
5University of TennesseeEVEN3.0
6Garin-Hart-Yang Research GroupD+8.05.0
7Ethridge & Associates LLCR+2.05.0

The polls behind it

12 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyUSA2002-10-271
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-220
Ethridge & Associates LLC2002-10-205
SurveyUSA2002-10-203
Mellman Group2002-10-193

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2002 Tennessee Governor race?

Phil Bredesen (D) won, by about 3.0 points (D+3.0).

When was the 2002 Tennessee Governor election held?

It was held in November 2002.

Which party matches you?

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