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Toss-up · 2004 House
South Dakota House
In the 2004 South Dakota House race, Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+7.5
Final polls said
D+0.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+4.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zogby Analytics | R+2.8 | 10.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-2510
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-203
Zogby Analytics2004-09-261
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-09-210
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-09-084
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 South Dakota House race?
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D) won, by about 7.5 points (D+7.5).
When was the 2004 South Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.