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Toss-up · 2004 President
Maryland President
In the 2004 Maryland President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+13.0
Final polls said
D+14.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+11.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+10.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | D+9.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Ipsos | D+21.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-282
Ipsos2004-10-258
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-252
SurveyUSA2004-10-062
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2004-10-033
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Maryland President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 13.0 points (D+13.0).
When was the 2004 Maryland President election held?
It was held in November 2004.