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Toss-up · 2004 President
Maryland President
In the 2004 Maryland President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+13.0
Final polls said
D+14.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+11.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+10.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | D+9.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Ipsos | D+21.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-282
Ipsos2004-10-258
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-252
SurveyUSA2004-10-062
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2004-10-033
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Maryland President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 13.0 points (D+13.0).
When was the 2004 Maryland President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.