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Toss-up · 2004 President
Missouri President
In the 2004 Missouri President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.2
Final polls said
R+4.9
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+5.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | R+4.2 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Market Research Institute Inc. | R+4.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gallup | R+14.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-302
Zogby Analytics2004-10-283
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-282
Market Research Institute Inc.2004-10-243
SurveyUSA2004-10-240
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Missouri President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 7.2 points (R+7.2).
When was the 2004 Missouri President election held?
It was held in November 2004.