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Toss-up · 2004 President
Missouri President
In the 2004 Missouri President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.2
Final polls said
R+4.9
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+5.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | R+4.2 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Market Research Institute Inc. | R+4.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gallup | R+14.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-302
Zogby Analytics2004-10-283
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-282
Market Research Institute Inc.2004-10-243
SurveyUSA2004-10-240
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Missouri President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 7.2 points (R+7.2).
When was the 2004 Missouri President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.