← all past elections
Toss-up · 2004 President
North Carolina President
In the 2004 North Carolina President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+12.4
Final polls said
R+7.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+12.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+12.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+9.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Tyson Group | R+8.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | R+5.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Lake Research Partners | EVEN | 12.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-304
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-253
SurveyUSA2004-10-232
The Tyson Group2004-10-194
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-184
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 North Carolina President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 12.4 points (R+12.4).
When was the 2004 North Carolina President election held?
It was held in November 2004.