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Toss-up · 2004 President
Washington President
In the 2004 Washington President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+7.2
Final polls said
D+7.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | D+7.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+8.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gallup | D+8.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elway Research | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Ipsos | D+9.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+5.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | D+11.2 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Moore Information Group | D+2.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
19 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-303
Zogby Analytics2004-10-284
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-252
SurveyUSA2004-10-241
SurveyUSA2004-10-160
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Washington President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 7.2 points (D+7.2).
When was the 2004 Washington President election held?
It was held in November 2004.