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Toss-up · 2004 President
Washington President
In the 2004 Washington President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+7.2
Final polls said
D+7.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | D+7.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+8.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gallup | D+8.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elway Research | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Ipsos | D+9.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+5.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | D+11.2 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Moore Information Group | D+2.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
19 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-303
Zogby Analytics2004-10-284
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-252
SurveyUSA2004-10-241
SurveyUSA2004-10-160
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Washington President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 7.2 points (D+7.2).
When was the 2004 Washington President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.