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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Kentucky Senate
In the 2004 Kentucky Senate race, Jim Bunning (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.3
Final polls said
R+6.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+1.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Louisville Courier-Journal | R+6.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | R+9.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+11.0 | 9.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-298
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2004-10-230
Louisville Courier-Journal2004-10-195
SurveyUSA2004-10-1813
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2004-10-161
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Kentucky Senate race?
Jim Bunning (R) won, by about 1.3 points (R+1.3).
When was the 2004 Kentucky Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.