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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Arizona Governor
In the 2006 Arizona Governor race, Janet Napolitano (D) won by about 27 points.
Actual result
D+27.1
Final polls said
D+22.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+28.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | D+33.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+21.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | D+34.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+16.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | D+43.0 | 15.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | D+8.6 | 18.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-018
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-011
YouGov2006-10-3111
Zogby Analytics2006-10-2519
Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy2006-10-2116
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Arizona Governor race?
Janet Napolitano (D) won, by about 27.1 points (D+27.1).
When was the 2006 Arizona Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.