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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Arizona Governor
In the 2006 Arizona Governor race, Janet Napolitano (D) won by about 27 points.
Actual result
D+27.1
Final polls said
D+22.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+28.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | D+33.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+21.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | D+34.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+16.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | D+43.0 | 15.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | D+8.6 | 18.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-018
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-011
YouGov2006-10-3111
Zogby Analytics2006-10-2519
Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy2006-10-2116
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Arizona Governor race?
Janet Napolitano (D) won, by about 27.1 points (D+27.1).
When was the 2006 Arizona Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.