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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2006 Illinois Governor race, Rod Blagojevich (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.5
Final polls said
D+10.7
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glengariff Group | D+9.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+6.6 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Market Shares Corp. | D+15.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Richard Day Research | D+16.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+4.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | YouGov | D+22.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | KRC Research | D+30.0 | 19.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-024
YouGov2006-11-0111
SurveyUSA2006-10-313
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-10-307
Market Shares Corp.2006-10-284
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Illinois Governor race?
Rod Blagojevich (D) won, by about 10.5 points (D+10.5).
When was the 2006 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.