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Toss-up · 2006 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2006 Pennsylvania House race, Christopher P. Carney (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.9
Final polls said
D+5.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | D+7.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lycoming College Polling Institute | D+9.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+12.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+14.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Momentum Analysis | R+6.0 | 11.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-251
Lycoming College Polling Institute2006-10-243
Momentum Analysis2006-10-2212
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2006-10-216
Momentum Analysis2006-10-109
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Pennsylvania House race?
Christopher P. Carney (D) won, by about 5.9 points (D+5.9).
When was the 2006 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2006.