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Toss-up · 2006 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2006 Pennsylvania House race, Christopher P. Carney (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.9
Final polls said
D+5.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | D+7.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lycoming College Polling Institute | D+9.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+12.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+14.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Momentum Analysis | R+6.0 | 11.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-251
Lycoming College Polling Institute2006-10-243
Momentum Analysis2006-10-2212
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2006-10-216
Momentum Analysis2006-10-109
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Pennsylvania House race?
Christopher P. Carney (D) won, by about 5.9 points (D+5.9).
When was the 2006 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.