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Toss-up · 2006 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2006 Pennsylvania House race, Jim Gerlach (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.3
Final polls said
D+4.3
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | R+3.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Polling Company Inc. | D+1.0 | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 3 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+3.0 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+5.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 5 | RT Strategies | D+5.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 6 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+12.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2006-10-266
RT Strategies2006-10-256
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2006-10-224
RT Strategies2006-10-097
The Polling Company Inc.2006-10-032
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Pennsylvania House race?
Jim Gerlach (R) won, by about 1.3 points (R+1.3).
When was the 2006 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2006.