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Toss-up · 2006 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2006 Pennsylvania House race, Jim Gerlach (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.3
Final polls said
D+4.3
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | R+3.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Polling Company Inc. | D+1.0 | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 3 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+3.0 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+5.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 5 | RT Strategies | D+5.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 6 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+12.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2006-10-266
RT Strategies2006-10-256
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2006-10-224
RT Strategies2006-10-097
The Polling Company Inc.2006-10-032
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Pennsylvania House race?
Jim Gerlach (R) won, by about 1.3 points (R+1.3).
When was the 2006 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.