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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Florida Senate
In the 2006 Florida Senate race, Bill Nelson (D) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
D+22.2
Final polls said
D+25.4
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+23.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+24.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+26.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | D+26.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+17.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | D+29.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Quinnipiac University | D+35.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-031
Zogby Analytics2006-11-017
YouGov2006-10-314
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-10-312
Zogby Analytics2006-10-258
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Florida Senate race?
Bill Nelson (D) won, by about 22.2 points (D+22.2).
When was the 2006 Florida Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.