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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Florida Senate
In the 2006 Florida Senate race, Bill Nelson (D) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
D+22.2
Final polls said
D+25.4
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+23.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+24.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+26.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | D+26.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+17.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | D+29.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Quinnipiac University | D+35.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-031
Zogby Analytics2006-11-017
YouGov2006-10-314
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-10-312
Zogby Analytics2006-10-258
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Florida Senate race?
Bill Nelson (D) won, by about 22.2 points (D+22.2).
When was the 2006 Florida Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.