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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Nevada Senate
In the 2006 Nevada Senate race, John Ensign (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.4
Final polls said
R+14.1
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+17.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+11.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | R+21.5 | 7.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2006-10-313
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-312
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-10-283
Zogby Analytics2006-10-257
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-175
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Nevada Senate race?
John Ensign (R) won, by about 14.4 points (R+14.4).
When was the 2006 Nevada Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.