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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Washington Senate
In the 2006 Washington Senate race, Maria Cantwell (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+16.9
Final polls said
D+13.2
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+16.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Elway Research | D+18.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+14.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+13.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Washington Center for Survey Research | D+12.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+3.9 | 13.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-011
YouGov2006-10-313
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2006-10-285
SurveyUSA2006-10-284
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-265
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Washington Senate race?
Maria Cantwell (D) won, by about 16.9 points (D+16.9).
When was the 2006 Washington Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.