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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Washington Senate
In the 2006 Washington Senate race, Maria Cantwell (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+16.9
Final polls said
D+13.2
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+16.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Elway Research | D+18.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+14.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+13.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Washington Center for Survey Research | D+12.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+3.9 | 13.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-011
YouGov2006-10-313
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2006-10-285
SurveyUSA2006-10-284
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-265
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Washington Senate race?
Maria Cantwell (D) won, by about 16.9 points (D+16.9).
When was the 2006 Washington Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.