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Toss-up · 2008 President
Arizona President
In the 2008 Arizona President race, John McCain (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+8.5
Final polls said
R+4.3
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+8.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Big Village | R+6.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | R+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Grove Insight | R+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | R+2.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | R+2.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
American Research Group2008-10-295
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-275
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-264
Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy2008-10-257
Big Village2008-10-253
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Arizona President race?
John McCain (R) won, by about 8.5 points (R+8.5).
When was the 2008 Arizona President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.