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Toss-up · 2008 President
Arizona President
In the 2008 Arizona President race, John McCain (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+8.5
Final polls said
R+4.3
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+8.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Big Village | R+6.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | R+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Grove Insight | R+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | R+2.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | R+2.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
American Research Group2008-10-295
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-275
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-264
Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy2008-10-257
Big Village2008-10-253
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Arizona President race?
John McCain (R) won, by about 8.5 points (R+8.5).
When was the 2008 Arizona President election held?
It was held in November 2008.