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Toss-up · 2008 President

California President

In the 2008 California President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 24 points.

Actual result
D+24.1
Final polls said
D+22.5
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1SurveyUSAD+24.00.1✓
2Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaD+23.01.1✓
3Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)D+22.02.1✓
4Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)D+27.02.9✓
5YouGovD+15.09.1✓
6American Research GroupD+14.010.1✓

The polls behind it

13 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-300
YouGov2008-10-259
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-253
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2008-10-232
Public Policy Institute of California2008-10-161

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2008 California President race?

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 24.1 points (D+24.1).

When was the 2008 California President election held?

It was held in November 2008.

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