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Toss-up · 2008 President
California President
In the 2008 California President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
D+24.1
Final polls said
D+22.5
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+24.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+23.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+22.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+27.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+15.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+14.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-300
YouGov2008-10-259
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-253
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2008-10-232
Public Policy Institute of California2008-10-161
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 California President race?
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 24.1 points (D+24.1).
When was the 2008 California President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.