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Toss-up · 2008 President
Iowa President
In the 2008 Iowa President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.5
Final polls said
D+12.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marist College | D+10.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+11.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+11.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+8.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | D+7.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Big Ten | D+13.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | D+15.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Selzer & Co. | D+17.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2008-10-307
SurveyUSA2008-10-285
YouGov2008-10-251
Marist College2008-10-230
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-232
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Iowa President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 9.5 points (D+9.5).
When was the 2008 Iowa President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.