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Toss-up · 2008 President
Iowa President
In the 2008 Iowa President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.5
Final polls said
D+12.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marist College | D+10.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+11.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+11.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+8.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | D+7.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Big Ten | D+13.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | D+15.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Selzer & Co. | D+17.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2008-10-307
SurveyUSA2008-10-285
YouGov2008-10-251
Marist College2008-10-230
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-232
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Iowa President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 9.5 points (D+9.5).
When was the 2008 Iowa President election held?
It was held in November 2008.