← all past elections
Toss-up · 2008 President
New Hampshire President
In the 2008 New Hampshire President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.6
Final polls said
D+10.6
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+11.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+11.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Big Village | D+8.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | D+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Suffolk University | D+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | YouGov | D+14.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+5.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 10 | American Research Group | D+15.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+4.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 12 | GfK Group | D+18.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 13 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | FTI Consulting | D+1.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-11-011
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-303
American Research Group2008-10-295
SurveyUSA2008-10-291
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-286
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Hampshire President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 9.6 points (D+9.6).
When was the 2008 New Hampshire President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.