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Toss-up · 2008 President
New Hampshire President
In the 2008 New Hampshire President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.6
Final polls said
D+10.6
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+11.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+11.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Big Village | D+8.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | D+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Suffolk University | D+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | YouGov | D+14.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+5.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 10 | American Research Group | D+15.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+4.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 12 | GfK Group | D+18.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 13 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | FTI Consulting | D+1.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-11-011
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-303
American Research Group2008-10-295
SurveyUSA2008-10-291
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2008-10-286
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Hampshire President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 9.6 points (D+9.6).
When was the 2008 New Hampshire President election held?
It was held in November 2008.