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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Kentucky Senate
In the 2008 Kentucky Senate race, Mitch McConnell (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+5.9
Final polls said
R+5.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+5.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+7.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+7.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+9.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+2.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-312
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-291
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-281
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2008-10-264
YouGov2008-10-251
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Kentucky Senate race?
Mitch McConnell (R) won, by about 5.9 points (R+5.9).
When was the 2008 Kentucky Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.