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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Kentucky Senate
In the 2008 Kentucky Senate race, Mitch McConnell (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+5.9
Final polls said
R+5.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+5.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+7.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+7.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+9.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+2.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-312
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-291
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-281
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2008-10-264
YouGov2008-10-251
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Kentucky Senate race?
Mitch McConnell (R) won, by about 5.9 points (R+5.9).
When was the 2008 Kentucky Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.