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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Louisiana Senate
In the 2008 Louisiana Senate race, Mary L. Landrieu (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+6.4
Final polls said
D+11.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+10.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | OnMessage Inc. | D+1.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+13.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | D+15.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Southeastern Louisiana University Social Science Research Center | D+19.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mellman Group | D+20.0 | 13.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
OnMessage Inc.2008-10-285
Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans2008-10-259
YouGov2008-10-257
Southeastern Louisiana University Social Science Research Center2008-10-2213
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-214
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Louisiana Senate race?
Mary L. Landrieu (D) won, by about 6.4 points (D+6.4).
When was the 2008 Louisiana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.