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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
North Carolina Senate
In the 2008 North Carolina Senate race, Kay R. Hagan (D) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
D+8.5
Final polls said
D+3.7
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Village | D+9.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+7.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elon University | D+7.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+6.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Impact Research | D+5.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | GfK Group | D+4.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | The Tyson Group | D+2.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | FTI Consulting | D+2.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Marshall Marketing | D+0.6 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 12 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+1.0 | 9.5 | ✗ |
| 13 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+2.0 | 10.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
33 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-11-011
Public Policy Polling2008-11-011
Elon University2008-10-291
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-292
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-289
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 North Carolina Senate race?
Kay R. Hagan (D) won, by about 8.5 points (D+8.5).
When was the 2008 North Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.