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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Oregon Senate
In the 2008 Oregon Senate race, Jeff Merkley (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.4
Final polls said
D+3.5
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+2.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | DHM Research | D+5.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Grove Insight | D+5.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+1.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Riley Research Associates | D+1.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+8.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | Moore Information Group | R+4.0 | 7.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-300
Public Policy Polling2008-10-295
SurveyUSA2008-10-294
Moore Information Group2008-10-277
YouGov2008-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Oregon Senate race?
Jeff Merkley (D) won, by about 3.4 points (D+3.4).
When was the 2008 Oregon Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.