← all past elections
Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Tennessee Senate
In the 2008 Tennessee Senate race, Lamar Alexander (R) won by about 34 points.
Actual result
R+33.5
Final polls said
R+25.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Star Opinion Research | R+37.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+28.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+24.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Minnesota State University Moorhead Public Affairs Institute | R+24.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | R+23.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2008-10-2511
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-166
North Star Opinion Research2008-10-144
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-09-2910
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-09-2310
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Tennessee Senate race?
Lamar Alexander (R) won, by about 33.5 points (R+33.5).
When was the 2008 Tennessee Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.