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Toss-up · 2009 Governor
New Jersey Governor
In the 2009 New Jersey Governor race, Chris Christie (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.6
Final polls said
D+0.1
23 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+3.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | PSB Research | R+5.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Quinnipiac University | R+2.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+6.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Neighborhood Research and Media | R+7.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 8 | The New York Times | D+1.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 9 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+2.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 11 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+2.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 12 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+3.0 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 13 | GQR | D+6.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
| 14 | Suffolk University | D+9.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
43 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2009-10-316
GQR2009-10-3110
SurveyUSA2009-10-311
Public Policy Polling2009-10-312
Monmouth University Polling Institute2009-10-293
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2009 New Jersey Governor race?
Chris Christie (R) won, by about 3.6 points (R+3.6).
When was the 2009 New Jersey Governor election held?
It was held in November 2009.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.