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Toss-up · 2009 Governor
New Jersey Governor
In the 2009 New Jersey Governor race, Chris Christie (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.6
Final polls said
D+0.1
23 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+3.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | PSB Research | R+5.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Quinnipiac University | R+2.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+6.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Neighborhood Research and Media | R+7.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 8 | The New York Times | D+1.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 9 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+2.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 11 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+2.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 12 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+3.0 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 13 | GQR | D+6.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
| 14 | Suffolk University | D+9.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
43 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2009-10-316
GQR2009-10-3110
SurveyUSA2009-10-311
Public Policy Polling2009-10-312
Monmouth University Polling Institute2009-10-293
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2009 New Jersey Governor race?
Chris Christie (R) won, by about 3.6 points (R+3.6).
When was the 2009 New Jersey Governor election held?
It was held in November 2009.