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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Florida Governor
In the 2010 Florida Governor race, Rick Scott (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.1
Final polls said
EVEN
17 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ipsos | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Big Village | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Quinnipiac University | D+1.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 7 | EMC Research | D+1.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 8 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+4.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+4.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | The Florida Poll | R+5.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 11 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+3.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 12 | Zogby Analytics | D+4.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 13 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | D+6.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 14 | Suffolk University | D+7.0 | 8.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
37 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2010-10-313
YouGov2010-10-301
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2010-10-304
Public Policy Polling2010-10-302
Quinnipiac University2010-10-282
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Florida Governor race?
Rick Scott (R) won, by about 1.1 points (R+1.1).
When was the 2010 Florida Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.