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Toss-up · 2010 Governor

Nevada Governor

In the 2010 Nevada Governor race, Brian E. Sandoval (R) won by about 12 points.

Actual result
R+11.8
Final polls said
R+17.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Public Policy PollingR+11.00.8
2Suffolk UniversityR+11.00.8
3YouGovR+16.04.3
4Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyR+16.04.3
5ccAdvertisingR+16.04.3
6Public Opinion StrategiesR+6.05.8
7Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)R+23.011.3
8Big VillageR+24.012.3
9IpsosR+29.017.3

The polls behind it

21 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-301
YouGov2010-10-274
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-264
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-2511
Big Village2010-10-2312

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2010 Nevada Governor race?

Brian E. Sandoval (R) won, by about 11.8 points (R+11.8).

When was the 2010 Nevada Governor election held?

It was held in November 2010.

Which party matches you?

These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.

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