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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Alaska Senate
In the 2010 Alaska Senate race, the Democratic-Republican margin was R+12.1. This was not a two-party contest, so that margin does not identify the winner and VotePredictor does not name one.
Actual result
R+12.1
Final polls said
R+3.1
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Craciun Research Group | R+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Big Village | R+14.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+8.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+7.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Hellenthal & Associates | R+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | National Research | R+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Dittman Research | R+4.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Alaska Survey Research | R+22.1 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Hays Research Group | R+1.2 | 10.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hays Research Group2010-10-3011
Public Policy Polling2010-10-305
Hellenthal & Associates2010-10-266
Dittman Research2010-10-258
Hays Research Group2010-10-2518
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Alaska Senate race?
VotePredictor does not publish a winner for this race. It tracks the two-party Democratic-Republican margin, which was R+12.1, and this was not a two-party contest — so that margin does not identify the winner.
When was the 2010 Alaska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.