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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Alaska Senate
In the 2010 Alaska Senate race, Joe Miller (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+12.1
Final polls said
R+3.1
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Craciun Research Group | R+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Big Village | R+14.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+8.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+7.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Hellenthal & Associates | R+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | National Research | R+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Dittman Research | R+4.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Alaska Survey Research | R+22.1 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Hays Research Group | R+1.2 | 10.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hays Research Group2010-10-3011
Public Policy Polling2010-10-305
Hellenthal & Associates2010-10-266
Dittman Research2010-10-258
Hays Research Group2010-10-2518
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Alaska Senate race?
Joe Miller (R) won, by about 12.1 points (R+12.1).
When was the 2010 Alaska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.