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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Florida Senate
In the 2010 Florida Senate race, Marco Rubio (R) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
R+28.7
Final polls said
R+25.4
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+28.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Quinnipiac University | R+27.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+31.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+26.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Big Village | R+26.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+24.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+34.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | R+22.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | Ipsos | R+21.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+21.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 11 | Suffolk University | R+17.0 | 11.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
29 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2010-10-302
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2010-10-301
Public Policy Polling2010-10-303
Quinnipiac University2010-10-282
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-275
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Florida Senate race?
Marco Rubio (R) won, by about 28.7 points (R+28.7).
When was the 2010 Florida Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.