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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Missouri Senate
In the 2010 Missouri Senate race, Roy Blunt (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.6
Final polls said
R+8.9
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Missouri State University Center for Social Science and Public Policy Research | R+13.1 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Big Village | R+13.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+11.1 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+9.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+9.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+5.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+4.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | Global Strategy Group | R+4.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2010-10-273
Missouri State University Center for Social Science and Public Policy Research2010-10-241
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-195
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-195
Public Policy Polling2010-10-179
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Missouri Senate race?
Roy Blunt (R) won, by about 13.6 points (R+13.6).
When was the 2010 Missouri Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.