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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Nevada Senate
In the 2010 Nevada Senate race, Harry Reid (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.7
Final polls said
R+3.4
8 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+5.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | D+3.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ipsos | D+2.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 5 | YouGov | R+2.0 | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 8.7 | ✗ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 8 | Big Village | R+4.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 9 | ccAdvertising | R+5.9 | 11.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-309
Public Policy Polling2010-10-307
YouGov2010-10-278
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-2610
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-2510
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Nevada Senate race?
Harry Reid (D) won, by about 5.7 points (D+5.7).
When was the 2010 Nevada Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.