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Toss-up · 2012 Governor
Missouri Governor
In the 2012 Missouri Governor race, Jay Nixon (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.2
Final polls said
D+11.2
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+9.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+8.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+18.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+6.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Kiley & Company | D+22.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-024
SurveyUSA2012-10-313
Kiley & Company2012-10-2410
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-246
Public Policy Polling2012-10-201
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Missouri Governor race?
Jay Nixon (D) won, by about 12.2 points (D+12.2).
When was the 2012 Missouri Governor election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.