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Toss-up · 2012 Governor
Washington Governor
In the 2012 Washington Governor race, Jay Robert Inslee (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.1
Final polls said
D+1.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Washington Center for Survey Research | D+3.1 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+1.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Strategies 360 | EVEN | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Elway Research | R+2.0 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 7 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-021
SurveyUSA2012-10-302
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2012-10-240
Elway Research2012-10-205
Strategies 3602012-10-193
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Washington Governor race?
Jay Robert Inslee (D) won, by about 3.1 points (D+3.1).
When was the 2012 Washington Governor election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.