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Toss-up · 2012 House
Florida House
In the 2012 Florida House race, Patrick Murphy (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.6
Final polls said
R+3.6
5 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Frederick Polls | EVEN | 0.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+1.0 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | Kimball Political Consulting | D+4.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+9.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | St. Pete Polls | R+9.1 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 7 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+11.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-10-250
St. Pete Polls2012-10-1610
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2012-10-162
Frederick Polls2012-10-161
Public Policy Polling2012-10-1510
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Florida House race?
Patrick Murphy (D) won, by about 0.6 points (D+0.6).
When was the 2012 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2012.