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Toss-up · 2012 House
Florida House
In the 2012 Florida House race, Lois Frankel (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+9.3
Final polls said
D+4.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impact Research | D+10.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+10.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | St. Pete Polls | D+3.2 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | EVEN | 9.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Impact Research2012-10-201
St. Pete Polls2012-10-166
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2012-10-169
Public Policy Polling2012-10-156
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2012-10-101
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Florida House race?
Lois Frankel (D) won, by about 9.3 points (D+9.3).
When was the 2012 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.