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Toss-up · 2012 House
Minnesota House
In the 2012 Minnesota House race, Richard M. Nolan (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.9
Final polls said
D+0.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasmussen Reports | D+7.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+4.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Victoria Research & Consulting | D+4.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+2.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Global Strategy Group | EVEN | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 6 | OnMessage Inc. | R+10.0 | 18.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2012-11-027
Public Policy Polling2012-10-255
OnMessage Inc.2012-10-2419
Rasmussen Reports2012-10-162
SurveyUSA2012-10-088
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Minnesota House race?
Richard M. Nolan (D) won, by about 8.9 points (D+8.9).
When was the 2012 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2012.