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Toss-up · 2012 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2012 New Hampshire House race, Carol Shea-Porter (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+3.8
Final polls said
R+1.6
5 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | EVEN | 3.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 4 | New England College Polling Center | R+7.0 | 10.8 | ✗ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+8.0 | 11.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-11-034
New England College Polling Center2012-10-3011
Public Policy Polling2012-10-255
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-10-197
Global Strategy Group2012-10-151
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Hampshire House race?
Carol Shea-Porter (D) won, by about 3.8 points (D+3.8).
When was the 2012 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2012.