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Toss-up · 2012 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2012 New Hampshire House race, Ann McLane Kuster (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.8
Final polls said
D+5.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New England College Polling Center | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-11-032
New England College Polling Center2012-10-301
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-10-192
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-10-032
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-09-294
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Hampshire House race?
Ann McLane Kuster (D) won, by about 4.8 points (D+4.8).
When was the 2012 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.