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Toss-up · 2012 President
Arizona President
In the 2012 Arizona President race, Mitt Romney (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+9.1
Final polls said
R+7.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+8.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+8.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+7.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Moore Information Group | R+4.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Purple Strategies | R+3.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | D+2.0 | 11.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-021
Public Policy Polling2012-11-022
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-211
YouGov2012-10-080
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)2012-10-0711
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Arizona President race?
Mitt Romney (R) won, by about 9.1 points (R+9.1).
When was the 2012 Arizona President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.