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Toss-up · 2012 President
Arizona President
In the 2012 Arizona President race, Mitt Romney (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+9.1
Final polls said
R+7.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+8.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+8.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+7.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Moore Information Group | R+4.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Purple Strategies | R+3.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | D+2.0 | 11.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-021
Public Policy Polling2012-11-022
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-211
YouGov2012-10-080
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)2012-10-0711
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Arizona President race?
Mitt Romney (R) won, by about 9.1 points (R+9.1).
When was the 2012 Arizona President election held?
It was held in November 2012.