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Toss-up · 2012 President
Connecticut President
In the 2012 Connecticut President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+17.3
Final polls said
D+11.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+15.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Siena College | D+15.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+14.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of Connecticut | D+14.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | D+13.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+13.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+7.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-022
Public Policy Polling2012-11-014
Quinnipiac University2012-10-213
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-2110
SurveyUSA2012-10-204
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Connecticut President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 17.3 points (D+17.3).
When was the 2012 Connecticut President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.