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Toss-up · 2012 President
Illinois President
In the 2012 Illinois President race, Rick Santorum (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+16.9
Final polls said
D+17.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | We Ask America | D+16.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+19.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Market Shares Corp. | D+19.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | D+13.3 | 3.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-022
We Ask America2012-10-301
YouGov2012-10-083
Market Shares Corp.2012-10-062
YouGov2012-09-116
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Illinois President race?
Rick Santorum (D) won, by about 16.9 points (D+16.9).
When was the 2012 Illinois President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.