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Toss-up · 2012 President
Michigan President
In the 2012 Michigan President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.5
Final polls said
D+5.1
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Village | D+8.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+7.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Grove Insight | D+7.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | We Ask America | D+12.1 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | D+6.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | EPIC-MRA | D+6.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | D+5.2 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+5.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Angus Reid Global | D+5.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Denno Research | D+3.7 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 12 | Glengariff Group | D+2.7 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 13 | Gravis Marketing | D+1.6 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 14 | Baydoun Consulting | R+0.6 | 10.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mitchell Research & Communications2012-11-045
YouGov2012-11-023
Angus Reid Global2012-11-025
Public Policy Polling2012-11-024
Baydoun Consulting2012-11-0210
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Michigan President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 9.5 points (D+9.5).
When was the 2012 Michigan President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.