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Toss-up · 2012 President
Minnesota President
In the 2012 Minnesota President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
D+7.7
Final polls said
D+6.3
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+8.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | St. Cloud State University | D+8.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+7.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+3.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+1.0 | 8.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-021
SurveyUSA2012-11-023
Public Policy Polling2012-11-020
Public Policy Polling2012-10-311
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-309
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Minnesota President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 7.7 points (D+7.7).
When was the 2012 Minnesota President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.