← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 President
North Carolina President
In the 2012 North Carolina President race, Mitt Romney (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.0
Final polls said
R+1.9
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+2.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | High Point University Survey Research Center | R+1.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | National Research | R+1.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+0.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gravis Marketing | R+4.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | The Tyson Group | R+4.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | American Research Group | R+4.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Elon University | D+0.1 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Marist College | D+2.0 | 4.0 | ✗ |
| 12 | Purple Strategies | D+2.0 | 4.0 | ✗ |
| 13 | Grove Insight | D+3.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
32 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2012-11-042
Public Policy Polling2012-11-032
YouGov2012-11-020
Public Policy Polling2012-10-302
SurveyUSA2012-10-283
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 North Carolina President race?
Mitt Romney (R) won, by about 2.0 points (R+2.0).
When was the 2012 North Carolina President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.