← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 President
Nevada President
In the 2012 Nevada President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.7
Final polls said
D+4.0
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mellman Group | D+6.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+6.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | CallFire | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Marist College | D+3.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | D+3.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | We Ask America | D+10.5 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 11 | American Research Group | D+2.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 12 | Suffolk University | D+2.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 13 | Gravis Marketing | D+1.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 14 | Public Opinion Strategies | EVEN | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 15 | Dane & Associates | R+3.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-033
YouGov2012-11-023
Mellman Group2012-10-301
Grove Insight2012-10-271
SurveyUSA2012-10-263
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Nevada President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 6.7 points (D+6.7).
When was the 2012 Nevada President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.