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Toss-up · 2012 President
Nevada President
In the 2012 Nevada President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.7
Final polls said
D+4.0
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mellman Group | D+6.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+6.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | CallFire | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Marist College | D+3.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | D+3.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | We Ask America | D+10.5 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 11 | American Research Group | D+2.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 12 | Suffolk University | D+2.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 13 | Gravis Marketing | D+1.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 14 | Public Opinion Strategies | EVEN | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 15 | Dane & Associates | R+3.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-033
YouGov2012-11-023
Mellman Group2012-10-301
Grove Insight2012-10-271
SurveyUSA2012-10-263
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Nevada President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 6.7 points (D+6.7).
When was the 2012 Nevada President election held?
It was held in November 2012.