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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Florida Senate
In the 2012 Florida Senate race, Bill Nelson (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+13.0
Final polls said
D+8.2
23 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+13.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+14.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+14.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ipsos | D+15.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | D+10.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Marist College | D+9.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+18.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Angus Reid Global | D+8.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+6.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 12 | Suffolk University | D+6.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 13 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 14 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | D+5.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 15 | Rasmussen Reports | D+4.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 16 | Gravis Marketing | D+3.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 17 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 18 | We Ask America | EVEN | 13.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
45 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ipsos2012-11-042
Zogby Analytics2012-11-045
Public Policy Polling2012-11-038
YouGov2012-11-027
Angus Reid Global2012-11-025
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Florida Senate race?
Bill Nelson (D) won, by about 13.0 points (D+13.0).
When was the 2012 Florida Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.