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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
North Dakota Senate
In the 2012 North Dakota Senate race, Heidi Heitkamp (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.9
Final polls said
EVEN
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2 | Mellman Group | D+4.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | DFM Research | D+4.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-273
Mellman Group2012-10-233
Mellman Group2012-10-182
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-176
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-041
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 North Dakota Senate race?
Heidi Heitkamp (D) won, by about 0.9 points (D+0.9).
When was the 2012 North Dakota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.