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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
North Dakota Senate
In the 2012 North Dakota Senate race, Heidi Heitkamp (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.9
Final polls said
EVEN
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2 | Mellman Group | D+4.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | DFM Research | D+4.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-273
Mellman Group2012-10-233
Mellman Group2012-10-182
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-176
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-041
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 North Dakota Senate race?
Heidi Heitkamp (D) won, by about 0.9 points (D+0.9).
When was the 2012 North Dakota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.