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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Washington Senate
In the 2012 Washington Senate race, Maria Cantwell (D) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
D+20.9
Final polls said
D+21.2
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+18.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+18.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+16.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+15.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Washington Center for Survey Research | D+27.5 | 6.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-023
Public Policy Polling2012-11-023
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2012-10-247
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-146
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2012-10-091
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Washington Senate race?
Maria Cantwell (D) won, by about 20.9 points (D+20.9).
When was the 2012 Washington Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.