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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Washington Senate
In the 2012 Washington Senate race, Maria Cantwell (D) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
D+20.9
Final polls said
D+21.2
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+18.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+18.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+16.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+15.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Washington Center for Survey Research | D+27.5 | 6.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-023
Public Policy Polling2012-11-023
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2012-10-247
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-146
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2012-10-091
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Washington Senate race?
Maria Cantwell (D) won, by about 20.9 points (D+20.9).
When was the 2012 Washington Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.